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Tuesday 9 January 2018

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DRM 02

Hypothesis Testing

Assignment - I

Assignment Code: 2017DRM02B1                               Last Date of Submission: 15th November 2017
                               Maximum Marks: 100
Attempt all the questions.

SECTION – A (25 marks for each question)

1.      a)     Explain why do we carry out Hypothesis testing.
b)     Discuss the different types of Errors  Type I  and   Type II   while   conducting   hypothesis testing.
c)     Discuss the following approaches we   adopt for either Rejection or otherwise of the Null Hypothesis:
               (i)     Critical value approach
             (ii)      Confidence Interval approach
              (iii)     p-value approach

2.     A certain brand of wheat flour is offered for sale in the market in gunny bags, each weighing 25Kg nominal with a standard deviation of 0.25Kg. A buyer decides to check the average bag weight on a sample of 64 bags. He makes up his mind to accept the average weight if the sample weight is 24.9kg or more and 25.10kg or less. What is the probability that the average weight of each bag is accepted as much as claimed?


SECTION – B
Case Study (50 marks)

A cardiologist was interested in understanding whether there is any difference in the cholesterol levels of his patients who come with cardiac ailments. He felt that since non vegetarians eat considerable protein than fat their level of cholesterol would be somewhat less than those of vegetarians (since they tend to consume more of fat and oil in their food intake.) In order to test his hypothesis, the cardiologist chose to conduct an experiment. He randomly selected from his patients 12 non –vegetarians and 12 vegetarians for his study with the consent of the patient. He took their blood samples and sent to his laboratory to test their cholesterol levels and found the following data:

Non veg patients    232    245    183    275    180    195    212    232    240    280    292    196
Veg  Patients    245    256    232    275    300    297    320    280    275    344    289    300

The doctor from his basic knowledge of statistics knew that before he could carry out the relevant hypothesis test, he should look at the descriptive statistics and obtained the following results.
   
   


Descriptives

    Patient        Statistic    Std. Error
Cholesterol levels    Non Veg    Mean    230.16    11.04936
          Median    232.00   
          Variance    1465.0   
          Std. Deviation    38.27   
          Skewness    .261    .637
          Kurtosis    -1.158    1.232
     Veg    Mean    284.41    9.03986
          Median    284.50   
          Variance    980.629   
          Std. Deviation    31.31   
          Skewness    .129    .637
          Kurtosis    .060    1.232





The doctor also knew that there are several other assumptions before he can proceed with understanding his research question. Based on your knowledge you are required to help him with the following:

(i)     Write down the null and alternative hypothesis for the above research problem.
(ii)     Test the two samples have equal variances. Use 5% level of significance.
(iii)      Use the appropriate hypothesis test to check whether indeed non-vegetarians have lower cholesterol levels than do vegetarians. Use 5% level of significance. 
(iv)     Verify your assumptions based on the output given above.


DRM 02

Hypothesis Testing

Assignment - II

Assignment Code: 2017DRM02B2                               Last Date of Submission: 15th November 2017
                               Maximum Marks: 100
Attempt all the questions.

SECTION-A (25 marks for each question)

1.     In hypothesis testing, we use both Z test and ‘t’ statistic for testing the single mean test. Explain when we would use a Z test and when we would use a ‘t’ statistic. Explain the other assumptions associated with each of these tests.

2.     A random sample of size 10 from a normal population produced the following values:
      
63    72    68    74    77    65    61    71    73    69

Test the hypothesis that population variance is 32.

SECTION-B (50 marks)

In 2003, Mumbai based Care Hygiene Co. (Care Hygiene), a well-known company dealing in healthcare products, recorded sales of Rs.665 crores and a net income of Rs. 45.6 crores. ‘Nutravit’, a chocolate flavored health drink, was one of its flagship products. But of late, Nutravit has been facing stiff competition from a number of other chocolate-based beverages that had flooded the market. Its market share had significantly come down. Care Hygiene decided it was high time it took some efforts to tackle competition and regain market share. The company decided to market a new variant of Nutravit, with an improved formulation and in a new flavor.

By mid-2003, Care Hygiene was ready with its new variant – a powdered mix which when mixed with milk gave a nutritious as well as tasty vanilla cum chocolate flavoured drink. He selected Mumbai and Nagpur as the test cities because there were significant similarities in the consumption patterns of its health drink ‘Nutravit’ in these two cities. In Mumbai, Care continued to market its established health beverage, while in Nagpur it replaced it with the new Vanilla cum chocolate flavor.

In each city, a sample of 200 households were selected and interviewed over a six-month period. Based on each household’s reported consumption of beverages, Care’s marketing manager chartered the results showing the different household consumption rates in Mumbai and Nagpur.


Consumption Rate    Nagpur
(Vanilla cum chocolate)    Mumbai
(Chocolate)
    Number    % households    Number    % households
Heavy    34    17    28    14
Moderate    52    26    44    22
Light    50    25    42    21
Non-User    64    32    86    43
Total    200    100    200    100





In Mumbai, where the chocolate flavored was marketed, 114 households reported using the beverage. In Nagpur, where the new variant was test marketed, 136 households reported using the beverage mix.

1.    Care’s marketing manager wondered if the difference in usage rates (57% in Mumbai and 68% in Nagpur) could be attributed to the new vanilla formulation or if the difference had merely resulted by chance due to sampling.

2.    Since the new formulation was an improved one with a new flavor, it was more expensive. The management decided to proceed with it only if there was sufficient evidence that the new variant would yield better results. While test marketing the new variant, Care’s marketing manager had decided that if it achieved a 75% usage rate among target households, he would recommend the launching of the product. What should he do? Based on the sample of 200 households, the new variant had achieved a usage rate of 68%. Should he recommend to the management for or against launching of the new product?

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